Happy New Year from Long Beach, CA

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Have a Happy New Year everyone.

We had a strange 2006, let’s make this one constructive and positive.

My resolutions are more than ever, enhance my critical analysis and thinking so that I rely less on headlines and more on my own.

My continuing resolution is to further my spiritual advancement so that it may benefit others as others have benefited me.

May this year be positive, ethically moral, may we understand each other and ourselves better so that we may raise ourselves higher so that comprehension develops which  leads to peace and advancement of humanity as a whole.

Love, Light and Harmony,

Nick

Europe vs US, Conclusion, Long Beach, CA

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This is the conclusion of my trip.

One last quick note I wanted to make was the difference in technology available to the mass in Europe.  Broadband has reached more household in comparison to us here.  Also, most people can get 6 to 8mgb/s for the price we pay for 1.5 here, which we rarely achieve anyway.

All in all, I am very happy here for a few reasons.  There is a freedom being here I can’t find in France.  I can still do what I want to do here, professionally, more so than in France.  People work the same amount of hours there with less pay.  However, they get more holidays and travel more.  This plays a very important role in their society, they are much more aware of world news and politics.  I learned about countries I never heard through the news here.  Most people were proficient in their understanding of world matters.  We are the greatest country but we know very little of others.

Case in point, even our intelligence expert know close to nothing about the ethnics and cultures differences of the middle-East.  A very scary thought.

Of course choosing between life in California or Nice is not an easy choice.  I love Nice for its deep and age old culture, great food and sheer beauty, but I prefer living here because people are simply happier and you can do more.

I find people here to be, in general happier, more positive and ready to tackle on anything.  I understand this can be a very negative thing in some situations.  After all, life is what you make of it.  Reality starts with thoughts and the Universe bends over backward to make it possible.

A Look At 2006 from Long Beach, CA

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Much can be said about this year.  Please feel free to send me your views and what I should include for this last year.  2006 was a strange year, to say the least. 

Real Estate
We could write a book on that topic alone but the most notable, homes country wide did not sell fast anymore, no more over-bidding and in some parts, prices falling.  Locally we saw a slow down, asking prices higher than sale prices.  Buyers refusing to stretch their limits as with previous years and some sellers did not face the truth.

When times get tough, the tough get going and the crooked surface.  New scams appeared a few weeks ago.  While some agents became increasingly civilized and sought out other agents for help, a true contrast from the last years, other increasingly stooped to low levels to snatch away clients.  That happened to me unfortunately this year.

Lenders
This side of the real estate industry also had its shares of interesting moments with creative and sometimes over-zealous mortgages, creative lending practices, less loans applications coming through, more and more borrowers in trouble and a slew of ethically challenged practices that made in the news.  All in all, these practices won’t help the overall economy of the nation and are self-defeating.

Mass Media
The news played a dirty role this year, especially in real estate.  It took headlines a good nine months to start reporting the slowdown.  We know newspapers are by nature three months late, but this was a disservice to readers.  We saw a surge in self-fulfilling prophecies when buyers actually believe headlines more than real estate professionals and when many missed out on a good September through December months.

Automobile
And if you thought the real estate market had gone crazy until a year ago, go and see what is happening to the muscle car one.  Muscle cars are going up, up, up and away.  Those who saw the crazy years of the late 80s to early 90s will recognize the trend.  Hemi Cudas selling for $1.5 million?  Yes, a reality.  And those saying this time it’s different, it’s only regular buyers and not speculators.  Here is the question.  Don’t regular buyers turn eventually to speculation when prices inflame?  Thanks to auction houses for ramping up their market.  Don’t get me wrong, I like muscle cars but for what they are.  Muscle cars are just that, muscle but not sports cars and have no  international glory.  They mainly have beefy engines, accelerate very fast, have dubious brakes, poor suspensions and don’t hold corners well.  They are limited.  $1.5 million for that?  Watch for that bubble go "poof!" next year.

I can’t say much here as I find 95% of modern cars boring, trying to please too big of a crowd and eventually losing their image.  Case in point, the big five Germans.  I find BMW less and less like BMW and adding a mix of Japanese design in order to win hearts.  Same thing applies to AUDI, Volkswagen and Mercedes.  However Mercedes does do thing a little different.  Whether or not you like their design, at least it stands out.  Same with Dodge and Chrysler.  I like the Gotham city look of their latest Teutonic inspired cars.  Would not I drive one, no but I welcome the change.

Though I am not an enthusiast of Japanese design, I have to say they are the best bang for your buck.  Our Subaru rocks in terms of performance vs price.  Quality is good and it was the best buy we made.

Finally Italian cars still have it, at least with Alfa Romeo in the design part.  An Alfa is an Alfa, unmistakably recognizable.  Models change but the overall design screams Italian flair.  Though Maserati needs to get Zagato tastes back, I think it will be nice in the longer run.

Unfortunately, modern cars are a bunch of electronic components meant to break down in sub-modules.  Is an Alfa still an Alfa when GM forced it’s V6 block on them?

Computers
It was the year of Apple.  It shown prominently in the headlines, one or two vulnerabilities, more roof of concepts but ESPECIALLY quickly patched by Apple, something Microsoft still cannot do.  The war heated up again between AMD and Intel.  Intel charged back with multi-core chips but AMD is counter back with interesting new designs.  Ever bigger hard drives and great prices.

I wonder what the Enterprise uses?  I still love Star Trek and find it has valuable messages that can only push humanity forward in a positive light.

Europe vs US, Airplines, Long Beach, CA

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There again, day and night of a difference between our airlines and Europe’s.

I don’t want to sound pro-European, I am not but I am good at picking out things I don’t like living where I am.  So bare with me as I point out some things we got used to, we shouldn’t have.

I started flying in the 70s when it was a pleasure to fly and companies treated you with great care.  A far cry from our modern bankrupt poor service airlines.  I remember flying TWA, Pan Am and even Delta, when it was a good company then.  Now any flights across the US will get you drinks and peanuts, eternal reroutes and the abominable Atlanta jungle maze airport.  I only fly smaller airlines tat have much better services like, SouthWest, America West and JetBlue.

On my hour and a half flight from London to Nice, I got two drinks and two sandwich.

I feel our airlines are getting us used to poor service in the name of bankruptcies and saving money "due to high gas price".  Well, sorry but I pay for gas price at every corner of my life.  In this case, maybe they should also rework the millions of dollars they spend on their CEOs, etc, in order to be more efficient and stop hitting their most important asset?  Their clients.

More Increase in Foreclosures, Long Beach, CA

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NAR and the Center for Responsible Lending acknowledged the rapid increase of foreclosures defaults.  NAR believes some families don’t understand the risks with "exotic" mortgages.

Foreclosures don’t just hot families but also communities since problematic loans are often made in concentrated areas.  They can affect neighborhoods and community in many ways.

 Click here for Calculated Risk’s blog.

Europe vs US, Cars and Traffic, Long Beach, CA

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What a starch difference between US and European cars, driving and traffic.

Automobile
Whereas we are lost in a sea of big SUV, huge pickup trucks and large sedans, Europe builds smaller and smaller cars with high performance.  I got to drive my Mom’s 1.6L Golf.  No race horse there and an anemic engine at best but with great handling, it was perfect for city cruising.

Design wise, it is day and night between both countries.  European cars are light in aesthetic and aggressively modern.  I even saw Japanese cars we don’t get here.  Oh and bikers have it way more easy there.  Automobile drivers are courteous to bikers and have learn to spot them in advance.  Bikers thank you by lifting a foot up.  Strange at first.

Monaco was my highlight.  The AUDI Aztec prototype parked in a municipal parking lot WITH flat tires!  A rare early 60s Ferrari not too far away.  A slew of Aston Martin, Jaguars, Rolls Royce, Bentley, Mercedes, etc.

What caught my eyes was an especially good looking, of what I thought to be a 308 Ferrari but sounded too good and turned out to be a 208 GTO driving in the middle of the street!  Then, I caught a glimpse of a jewel.  1 out of 23 built, Lancia Zagato Fulvia all original factory racer.

Frankly said the driving got worse there.  For one thing, we can finally say we drive faster here.  What we cannot brag about is our civility at the wheel.  There the Europeans beat us hands down, at least here in California.  No cutting in and out of lanes, no forgetting to use blinkers, no talking on the phone and being oblivious to traffic conditions.

Our driving habits will eventually push elected officials to crack down, since we cannot self-moderate.  There will be laws again cell phone and driving, and sooner or later, we will be forced to drive at the speed limit.  And believe me, what takes us 30mn will take us 45mn of maddening snail pace in traffic congested California will be sheer displeasure.

Housing Rebound Slightly But Building Permits Still Low, Long Beach, CA

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The market is still very slow.   New home constructions went up 6.7% in November, after dropping 14% in October, according to the Commerce Department with building permits falling 3% to a nine-year low.  It is down 25.5% in the past year and 12.5% in the first 11 months of 2006 compared with the same period in 2005.

Building permits are considered to be an important indicator of the economy and with the housing market fell 3% is worrying some analysts.  Down 31.3% in the past year and 14.1% in the first 11 months of 2006 compared with the same period in 2005.

Another report from the Labor Department did not have better news when it found the producer price index rose 2% in November, while core prices at the wholesale level increased 1.3%, the biggest gain since 1980 and reversing October’s big decline.  This will not help kindle an already cool market. 

Never the less, we should be careful when analyzing numbers, as it can take five months for a trend to starts emerging from the data.  Not even the government can say that starts increased in November.

Starts fell 8.1% in the West to the lowest level in five years.

 Here is the Real Estate Journal’s article.

Europe vs US, Politics, Long Beach, CA

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Touchy, touchy, sensitive subject.  Even more so now than our Habeas Corpus has been tweaked.

Hum, where to start.  Europe has been mired in endless theoretical debates (you thought it only happened here? ;)   ) for the past decades.  Some countries as France opened up their borders in the 70s and 80s to wild immigration and are only now becoming aware of the effects.  Italy and Spain are blissfully unaware as they get their first flux of wild immigration.

I found France in complete transition.  Our two countries are very similar, that’s why we love to hate and love each other in complete misunderstanding.  But France is changing.  I didn’t see the old politicians tat dragged down the country in sterile left-right debates.  I found two new revamped parties, one left, one right and remnants of the old schools desperately clinging on.

On the right, a very vibrant Nicolas Sarkozy who tells it like it is and looks to actually walk the walk.  On the left, I was a little disappointed with Segolene Royal, socialist’s darling who didn’t seem to have real plans and rather said people would decide.  I believe in the mess France is in, they need strong leadership.

Unfortunately, they also took in our flashy political displays with big staged scene appearances, flashy neons and dazzling lights.  Whatever gets people inspired. I’m more interested in plans.

I won’t talk much about our state here.  I feel Republicans and Democrats have blurred the lines too much.  I would be hard press to chose a new comer against an old shark.  I would rather have serious plans and know in advance who the administration will be.

People in both countries are profoundly ideologists which is sad when we need individual ethics, prooven track record and intelligent team work, then and only after then can we indulge in ideology politics.  There just isn’t much difference anymore.

More Borrowers Face Foreclosure, Long Beach, CA

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A number that has many analysts watching in order to anticipate the market are foreclosures.  The Center for Responsible Lending released a new report on foreclosures in the subprime market and their real cost to homeowners.  The prognostic was that foreclosure rates will increase in many markets as housing appreciation slows or reverses.  An estimated 2.2 million borrowers could stand to lose their homes.  That is a very steep number.

One out of five subprime mortgages originated during the past two years will end in foreclosure.  That’s roughly 20%.    This exceeds the worst foreclosure experience in the modern mortgage market, which occurred during the “Oil Patch” disaster of the 1980s.

 Chilly news here at Calculated Risk.

Gypsy’s Food in Long Beach, CA

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Ever eaten at Gypsy’s?  It’s one of Long Beach’s best little kept secret.

If you like Mediterranean type food with a hint of Persian touch, you’ll like this place.  The owners are wonderful and the staff is equally as nice.

There is no alcohol, so I always get my Doog.  A yogurty milky drink spiced with thyme and herbs.  Yum, yum.  My favorite plate is a Gypsy’s plate.  A combination of soaked walnuts, mint, tasty olives and real Feta cheese that you wrap in pita bread.  hey also have plenty of skewer to chose from for you meat lovers.  Their organic lamb and chicken is quite tasty I am told.

They are located right before the Belmont Brewery Club on the Veteran’s Pier.  Give them a try.