
You would not know there is a market slowdown according to surveys that find Americans have not shut their wallets, defying predictions. And this is where I wanted to make a point. Predictions are like a game of pure luck. You are either right or wrong. "Experts" know this and bank on a fifty chance to be able to claim they knew something was to happen. It is a game where consumers are taken in on a ride and much importance are placed on people that only observe but might not really know what is happening at the heart of it all. Does anyone remember the last housing bubble? How many experts "predicted" it would end? How many predicted otherwise? It is actually funny to look back but there was as much guess work back ten as there is today. The problem is that people listen and act on those predictions, thus making them self fulfilling prophecies.
Consumers have increased their purchases of goods and services at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of more than 3% this year, in the ist of a housing cool off. It defies logic after years of high real-estate prices, with low-interest financing options have given consumers a chance borrow against the rising value of their homes to pay for many things. Many economists predicted the slowdown in the housing market would stop this and make Americans save.
Read on to see what the Real Estate Journal has to say about it. They do write that the trend has slowed from last year.